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BTC Funding Persistence
Will BTC funding stay positive for the next three 8h windows?
Expiry
SEP 24 · 08:00 UTC
remaining
Reference
BTC 8H Funding
Binance
Current
0.0020%
Target All windows >0
24H Δ
-0.0008%
Updated 08:46 UTC
Reference value
Recent historyOutcomes
Model-implied- YES35%
- NO65%
Probabilities come from a diffusion model fitted to the metric's recent history, not from an order book. See Transparency for the methodology.
Structure
- Product
- Funding
- Asset
- BTC
- Condition
- All windows >0
- Expiry rule
- Three 8h funding settlements
- Source
- Sequence of Binance USD-M BTCUSDT funding prints across the next three settlements
About this market
A persistence market on BTC funding. It resolves YES only if each of the next three 8-hour funding prints is strictly positive. This isolates the durability of long-side demand rather than its magnitude.
Reference values are read live from Binance. Settlement contracts are not yet deployed, so positions cannot be opened and no funds are held.