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ETH 30D Implied Volatility
Will ETH 30D IV settle above 65%?
Expiry
SEP 25 · 08:00 UTC
remaining
Reference
ETH DVOL
Deribit
Current
52.75%
Target >65%
24H Δ
+0.91%
Updated 08:00 UTC
Reference value
Recent historyOutcomes
Model-implied- ABOVE 65%2%
- BELOW 65%98%
Probabilities come from a diffusion model fitted to the metric's recent history, not from an order book. See Transparency for the methodology.
Structure
- Product
- Volatility
- Asset
- ETH
- Condition
- >65%
- Expiry rule
- Weekly · Friday 08:00 UTC
- Source
- Deribit DVOL index close at expiry (30-day forward implied volatility, annualised %)
About this market
This market resolves on Deribit's ETH DVOL index, a 30-day forward-looking measure of implied volatility derived from ETH option prices. Higher readings indicate the options market is pricing more movement; lower readings indicate calmer expectations. Expiry follows the weekly Friday 08:00 UTC convention.
Reference values are read live from Deribit. Settlement contracts are not yet deployed, so positions cannot be opened and no funds are held.