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BTC 30D Implied Volatility
Will BTC 30D IV settle above 55%?
Expiry
SEP 25 · 08:00 UTC
remaining
Reference
BTC DVOL
Deribit
Current
37.98%
Target >55%
24H Δ
-0.59%
Updated 08:00 UTC
Reference value
Recent historyOutcomes
Model-implied- ABOVE 55%2%
- BELOW 55%98%
Probabilities come from a diffusion model fitted to the metric's recent history, not from an order book. See Transparency for the methodology.
Structure
- Product
- Volatility
- Asset
- BTC
- Condition
- >55%
- Expiry rule
- Weekly · Friday 08:00 UTC
- Source
- Deribit DVOL index close at expiry (30-day forward implied volatility, annualised %)
About this market
This market resolves on Deribit's BTC DVOL index at the weekly expiry. DVOL aggregates implied volatility across the BTC options surface into a single annualised figure comparable across time.
Reference values are read live from Deribit. Settlement contracts are not yet deployed, so positions cannot be opened and no funds are held.